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ICC Prosecutor Khan Faces Retaliation Claims Amid Sexual Misconduct Allegation

U.N. investigators probing sexual misconduct allegations against International Criminal Court Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan are also examining claims of retaliation linked to the accusations, according to five sources briefed on the matter.

The allegations being examined are that Khan retaliated against staff who reported allegations of sexual misconduct towards a female lawyer reporting to him or were critical of his handling of the matter, said three sources with direct knowledge of the U.N. investigation.

The five sources, all of whom asked not to be named due to concerns of reprisals, said Khan, who is British, had demoted at least four staff in his office.

In a written statement, Khan’s attorneys rejected all allegations of wrongdoing and said he “looks forward to cooperating fully and transparently with the external investigation”.

“We refer you to what our client has said previously in this regard, including his firm denials. You will appreciate that our client cannot be expected to provide a running commentary on these matters,” law firm Carter-Ruck said.

“He has not engaged in sexual misconduct of any kind and nor, to be clear, has he engaged in any ‘retaliatory behaviour’ as alleged.”

Carter-Ruck did not comment on whether the U.N. probe included examining allegations of retaliatory conduct.

Khan has vowed to continue working while cooperating with the inquiry, and said that the original allegations, made last October, coincided with a campaign of misinformation against his office.

ICC Prosecutors Probe Top Figures

ICC prosecutors are investigating several high-profile figures including Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The court has issued an arrest warrant for Putin on suspicion of deporting children from Ukraine, and for Netanyahu for alleged war crimes in Gaza. Neither country is a member of the court and both deny the accusations and reject ICC jurisdiction.

The ICC’s investigation into Israel’s conduct led the U.S. to impose sanctions on Khan, which the ICC president says have put the court itself at risk.

Khan has not yet been questioned for the inquiry, which is being conducted by the U.N.’s Office of Internal Oversight Services (OIOS), the sources said.

The ICC and an OIOS official declined to comment on the inquiry into Khan.

The court’s governing body, which commissioned the U.N. inquiry, declined to comment on its scope, saying that further information could only be shared once the investigation was finished.

The ICC is a permanent court that can prosecute individuals for war crimes, crimes against humanity, genocide and the crime of aggression in member states or by their nationals. Its 125 members include all European Union countries, Japan, Britain, Canada and Brazil, but not the United States, China or Russia.

(With inputs from Reuters)

US Will Stay In NATO, But It Must Be ‘Stronger’, Rubio Says

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio reaffirmed America’s commitment to NATO on Thursday but emphasised that European allies must significantly increase their defence spending, while assuring that the U.S. would allow them some time to meet the demand.

Rubio spoke as he met fellow NATO foreign ministers gathered in Brussels, with Europeans hoping he would dispel doubts about the U.S. stance even with tensions rising over President Donald Trump’s steep new trade tariffs.

The Trump administration’s words and actions have raised questions about the future of NATO, the transatlantic alliance that has been the bedrock of European security for the past 75 years.

“The United States is in NATO … The United States is as active in NATO as it has ever been,” Rubio told reporters, dismissing doubts about that commitment as “hysteria”.

Rubio added that Trump was “not against NATO. He is against a NATO that does not have the capabilities that it needs to fulfil the obligations that the treaty imposes upon each and every member state.”

Trump has said the military alliance should spend 5% of gross domestic product on defence – a huge increase from the current 2% goal and a level that no NATO country, including the United States, currently reaches.

Washington has also bluntly told European countries that it can no longer be primarily focused on the continent’s security.

European allies have been anxiously seeking details on the timeframe and extent to which the U.S. aims to reduce its engagement in NATO for weeks, in order to coordinate the process of a European defence ramp-up to avoid security gaps in Europe.

Spend More

In Brussels, Rubio brought some element of response to that.

“We do want to leave here with an understanding that we are on a pathway, a realistic pathway, to every single one of the members committing and fulfilling a promise to reach up to 5% of spending,” he said, adding that this included the United States.

“No one expects that you’re going to be able to do this in one year or two. But the pathway has to be real.”

European ministers are expected to use the meeting to showcase their plans to boost defence spending.

According to NATO estimates, 23 of the alliance’s 32 members met or exceeded the 2% target last year. Some of the continent’s big economies, such as Italy and Spain, were among those below the target, at around 1.5% and 1.3% respectively.

European ministers are also likely to use the meeting to try to influence the talks Trump has initiated with Russia over the war in Ukraine, which was triggered by Moscow’s 2022 invasion.

European belief in the U.S. as the continent’s ultimate protector against any attack from Russia has been severely shaken by Trump’s attempted rapprochement with Moscow and heavy pressure on Kyiv as he seeks to end the war.

(With inputs from Reuters)

Trump Escalates Trade War Amid Global Tariff Turmoil

U.S. President Donald Trump‘s decision to impose broad tariffs on U.S. imports triggered threats of retaliation on Thursday, as businesses and governments scrambled to assess the impact of an intensifying trade war that could disrupt global alliances.

The penalties announced on Wednesday unleashed turbulence across world markets and drew condemnation from other leaders facing the end of an era of trade liberalisation that has shaped the global order for decades.

Donald Trump said he would impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the United States and higher duties on some of the country’s biggest trading partners, hammering goods from premium Italian coffee and Japanese whisky to sportswear made in Asia.

According to Fitch Ratings, the new U.S. tariffs are the highest in more than a century.

As investors digested the news on Thursday, stock markets in Beijing and Tokyo sank to multi-month lows. European shares were also down sharply in morning trade, with top goods exporter Germany hit hard.

Wall Street futures sank as investors shed riskier assets in favour of safe-haven bonds and gold.

Germany’s IW research institute estimated the tariffs would wipe 750 billion euros ($833.63 billion) from the EU economy.

Trump said the “reciprocal” tariffs were a response to duties and other non-tariff barriers put on U.S. goods. He argued that the new levies will boost manufacturing jobs at home.

Facing 54% tariffs on exports to the U.S., the world’s No. 2 economy, China vowed countermeasures, as did the European Union, as Washington’s allies and rivals alike criticised moves they fear will deal a devastating blow to global trade.

“Uncertainty will spiral and trigger the rise of further protectionism. The consequences will be dire for millions of people around the globe,” EU chief Ursula von der Leyen said, adding the 27-member bloc was preparing to hit back if talks with Washington failed.

U.S. Treasury Chief Scott Bessent earlier warned any retaliatory moves would only lead to escalation.

Tiny Territories, Uninhabited Islands Hit

Among close U.S. allies, the European Union was targeted with a 20% rate, Japan with 24%, South Korea with 25% and Taiwan with 32%. Even some tiny territories and uninhabited islands in the Antarctic were hit by tariffs, according to a list posted by the White House on X.

Donald Trump’s tariffs also looked set to shake up established trade ties in favour of new relationships.

“Opportunities for new alliances are emerging that we should use determinedly and decisively,” said Robert Habeck, the economy minister of Germany, whose biggest trading partner is the United States.

Recent meetings showed “that what we think is what they think, too: forging an alliance, for example, with Canada and Mexico, is the order of the day,” he said, adding “we, the European Union, should pragmatically explore free trade options with other countries.”

Trump’s tariffs come at a time when relations with much of Europe have plummeted over issues such as the war in Ukraine and the upending of decades-old transatlantic ties, with the U.S. acting as the ultimate guarantor of European security.

The issue spilled over into a meeting of the NATO alliance in Brussels on Thursday, where the U.S. is pushing for countries to sharply raise their defence spending.

Norway’s Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide said NATO’s founding after World War Two was based on countries not using “coercive” economic measures against one another, while German, French and Belgian foreign ministers also criticised the tariffs.

Anthony Albanese, prime minister of Australia, a nation often described as America’s “deputy sheriff” in Asia, said Trump’s move was not the act of a friend.

“The (Trump) administration’s tariffs have no basis in logic and they go against the basis of our two nations’ partnership.”

Outside economists have warned that tariffs could slow the global economy, raise the risk of recession, and increase living costs for the average American family by thousands of dollars.

“This is how you sabotage the world’s economic engine while claiming to supercharge it,” said Nigel Green, CEO of global financial advisory deVere Group. “The reality is stark: these tariffs will push prices higher on thousands of everyday goods – from phones to food – and that will fuel inflation at a time when it is already uncomfortably persistent.”

Canada and Mexico, the two largest U.S. trading partners, already face 25% tariffs on many goods and will not face additional levies from Wednesday’s announcement.

They will be hit by a separate set of tariffs on auto imports that Trump announced last week will take effect starting on Thursday.

Tariff concerns have already slowed manufacturing activity across the globe, while also spurring sales of autos and other imported products as consumers rush to make purchases before prices rise.

Now as the reality of the new tariffs sinks in, companies around the world must weigh up how to adjust, with their options limited and unpalatable for their customers.

“It’s an immense difficulty for Europe. I think it’s also a catastrophe for the United States and for U.S. citizens,” said French Prime Minister François Bayrou.

($1 = 0.8997 euros)

(With inputs from Reuters)

Netanyahu Praises Hungary’s Withdrawal From ICC During Budapest Visit

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu praised Hungary for its “bold and principled” move to exit the International Criminal Court during his visit to Budapest on Thursday, marking a rare international trip despite an ICC arrest warrant.

Netanyahu, invited by Hungary’s right-wing Prime Minister Viktor Orban, faces the ICC arrest warrant over allegations of war crimes in Gaza as Israel has expanded its military operation in the Palestinian enclave.

Hungary has rejected the idea of arresting the Israeli prime minister and has called the warrant “brazen”.

In an announcement timed with Netanyahu’s visit on Thursday, Orban said Hungary would withdraw completely from the ICC, an organisation set up more than two decades ago to prosecute those accused of war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide.

“This is no longer an impartial court, a rule-of-law court, but rather a political court. This has become the clearest in light of its decisions on Israel,” Orban said at a news conference with Netanyahu where they did not take questions.

Orban’s Invitation

Orban had invited his Israeli counterpart to Budapest in November, a day after the arrest warrant was issued over Israel’s offensive in Gaza, launched after an attack by the Palestinian Islamist militant group Hamas on southern Israel.

Israel has rejected the ICC accusations, saying they are politically motivated and fuelled by antisemitism. It says the ICC has lost all legitimacy by issuing the warrants against a democratically elected leader of a country exercising the right of self-defence.

“You stand with us at the EU, you stand with us at the UN and you’ve just taken a bold and principled position on the ICC… it’s important for all democracies to stand up to this corrupt organisation,” Netanyahu told Orban.

An ICC spokesperson had no immediate comment on the criticism from Orban and Netanyahu.

The court has previously said its decision to pursue warrants against Israeli officials was in line with its approach in all cases and that it is not for states to unilaterally determine the soundness of its legal decisions.

The visit to Hungary was only Netanyahu’s second trip abroad since the ICC announced the warrants, following a visit to Washington in February to meet U.S. President Donald Trump.

As a founding member of the ICC, Hungary is theoretically obliged to arrest and hand over anyone subject to a warrant from the court. Hungary ratified the ICC’s founding document in 2001, but the law has not been promulgated.

Foreign Minister Caspar Veldkamp of the Netherlands, which hosts the ICC, said on Thursday that until its withdrawal from the ICC was complete, which he said takes about a year, Hungary must still meet its duties.

EU Nations Divided On ICC Warrant

European Union countries have been split on the ICC warrant.

Some said last year they would meet their ICC commitments, while Italy has said there were legal doubts, and France has said it believed Netanyahu had immunity to ICC actions.

Germany’s next chancellor Friedrich Merz said in February he would find a way for Netanyahu to visit without being arrested.

Hungary’s Orban is an important Israeli ally who has acted to block EU statements or actions critical of Israel.

The Israeli campaign has killed more than 50,000 Palestinians, according to Palestinian health authorities, and devastated the Gaza Strip. The Hamas-led attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, killed 1,200 people and saw more than 250 taken hostage, according to Israeli tallies.

Hamas condemned Hungary’s decision, calling it “a slap in the face to the principle of international justice”.

The ICC also issued an arrest warrant against a Hamas leader, Mohammed Deif, in November. His death was confirmed after the warrant was issued.

Prosecutors had also sought to arrest Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and the group’s leader in Gaza, Yahya Sinwar. Both were killed by Israel before the request was approved.

(With inputs from Reuters)

Thousands Flee Gaza As Israel Seizes Rafah In New ‘Security Zone’

Palestinians make their way with belongings as they flee their homes, after the Israeli army issued evacuation orders, in the Shujaiya neighborhood of Gaza City, April 3, 2025. REUTERS/Mahmoud Issa

Hundreds of thousands of Palestinians fled Gaza for safety on Thursday in one of the war’s largest mass displacements, as Israel’s forces pushed deeper into the ruins of Rafah, advancing into a newly declared “security zone” they plan to control.

A day after declaring their intention to capture large swathes of the crowded enclave, Israel’s forces pushed into the city on Gaza’s southern edge, which had served as a last refuge for people fleeing other areas for much of the war.

Gaza’s health ministry reported at least 97 people killed in Israeli strikes in the past 24 hours, including at least 20 killed in an airstrike around dawn in the Shejaia suburb of Gaza City.

‘Rafah Is Gone’

Rafah “is gone, it is being wiped out,” a father of seven among the hundreds of thousands who had fled from Rafah to neighbouring Khan Younis, told Reuters via a chat app.

“They are knocking down what is left standing of houses and property,” said the man who declined to be identified for fear of repercussions.

After a strike killed several people in Khan Younis, Adel Abu Fakher was checking the damage to his tent.

“Is anything left for us? There’s nothing left for us. We’re being killed while asleep,” he said.

The assault to capture Rafah is a major escalation in the war, which Israel restarted last month after effectively abandoning a ceasefire in place since January.

Gazans Fear Permanent Depopulation

Israel has not spelled out its long-term aims for the security zone in Gaza, which its troops are now seizing. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said troops were taking an area he called the “Morag Axis”, a reference to an abandoned former Israeli settlement once located between Rafah on Gaza’s southern edge and the adjacent main southern city Khan Younis.

Gazans who had returned to homes in the ruins during the ceasefire have now been ordered to flee communities on the northern and southern edges of the strip.

They fear that Israel’s intention is to depopulate those areas indefinitely, leaving many hundreds of thousands of people permanently homeless in one of the poorest and most crowded territories on earth. The security zone includes some of Gaza’s last agricultural land and critical water infrastructure.

Fragile Ceasefire

Since the first phase of the ceasefire expired at the start of March with no agreement to prolong it, Israel has imposed a total blockade on all goods reaching Gaza’s 2.3 million residents, recreating what international organisations describe as a humanitarian catastrophe after weeks of relative calm.

Israel’s stated goal since the start of the war has been the destruction of the Hamas militant group, which ran Gaza for nearly two decades and led the attack on Israeli communities in October 2023 that precipitated the war.

But with no effort made to establish an alternative administration, Hamas-led police returned to the streets during the ceasefire. Fighters still hold 59 dead and living hostages, which Israel says must be handed over to extend the truce; Hamas says it will free them only under a deal that ends the war.

Israeli leaders say they have been encouraged by signs of protest in Gaza against Hamas, with hundreds of people demonstrating in north Gaza’s Beit Lahiya on Wednesday opposing the war and demanding Hamas quit power. Hamas calls the protesters collaborators and says Israel is behind them.

Israel-Hamas War

The war began with a Hamas attack on Israeli communities on October 7, 2023, with gunmen killing 1,200 people and taking more than 250 hostages according to Israeli tallies. Israel’s campaign has so far killed more than 50,000 Palestinians, Gaza health authorities say.

Rafah residents said most of the local population had followed Israel’s order to leave, as Israeli strikes toppled buildings there. But a strike on the main road between Khan Younis and Rafah stopped most movement between the two cities.

Movement of people and traffic along the western coastal road near Morag was also limited by bombardment, said residents.

“Others stayed because they don’t know where to go, or got fed up with being displaced several times. We are afraid they might be killed or at best detained,” said Basem, a resident of Rafah who declined to give a second name.

Markets have emptied and prices for basic necessities have soared under Israel’s total blockade of food, medicine and fuel.

The Palestinian Health Ministry, which is based in the Israeli-occupied West Bank but has nominal authority over hospitals in Gaza, said Gaza’s entire healthcare system was at risk of collapse.

(With inputs from Reuters)

Hungary Announces ICC Withdrawal Amid Netanyahu’s Arrival

On Thursday, Hungary’s government announced its decision to withdraw from the International Criminal Court, just after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who is the subject of an ICC arrest warrant, arrived in the country for a state visit.

Hungary‘s right-wing Prime Minister Viktor Orban invited his Israeli counterpart Netanyahu to Budapest in November, a day after the ICC issued its arrest warrant over allegations of war crimes in Gaza, where Israel launched its offensive following an attack by Hamas-led fighters on southern Israel.

Israel has rejected the accusations, which it says are politically motivated and fuelled by antisemitism. It says the ICC has lost all legitimacy by issuing the warrants against a democratically elected leader of a country exercising the right of self defence.

‘Brazen, Cynical’

As a founding member of the ICC, Hungary is theoretically obliged to arrest and hand over anyone subject to a warrant from the court but Orban made clear that Hungary would not respect the ruling which he called “brazen, cynical and completely unacceptable”.

Hungary signed the ICC’s founding document in 1999 and ratified it in 2001, but the law has not been promulgated.

Gergely Gulyas, Orban’s chief of staff, said in November that although Hungary ratified the Rome Statute of the ICC, it “was never made part of Hungarian law”, meaning that no measure of the court can be carried out within Hungary.

Time For Review

On Thursday, Gulyas told state news agency MTI that the government would launch the withdrawal process later in the day.
Orban had raised the prospect of Hungary’s exit from the ICC after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed sanctions on the court’s prosecutor Karim Khan in February.

“It’s time for Hungary to review what we’re doing in an international organization that is under U.S. sanctions,” Orban said on X in February.

The bill on starting the year-long process of withdrawing from the ICC is likely to be approved by Hungary’s parliament that is dominated by Orban’s Fidesz party.

The Netherlands Differs

The Netherlands, which hosts the ICC, said that until withdrawal is complete, Hungary must still meet its duties.

“The full process to withdraw from the ICC takes about a year, during that time Hungary will have to fulfil all its obligations to the court,” Dutch Foreign Minister Caspar Veldkamp told reporters on the sidelines of a NATO meeting in Brussels.

Strong Support

Netanyahu has enjoyed strong support over the years from Hungary’s Orban, an important ally who has been ready to block EU statements or actions critical of Israel in the past.

ICC judges said when they issued the warrant that there were reasonable grounds to believe Netanyahu and his former defence chief were criminally responsible for acts including murder, persecution and starvation as a weapon of war as part of a “widespread and systematic attack against the civilian population of Gaza”.

The Israeli campaign has killed more than 50,000 Palestinians, according to Palestinian health authorities, and devastated the Gaza Strip. The Hamas-led attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, killed 1,200 people and saw more than 250 taken hostage, according to Israeli tallies.

The ICC also issued an arrest warrant against a Hamas leader in November. His death was confirmed after the warrant was issued.

(With inputs from Reuters)

India’s Defence Exports Hit Record $2.76 Billion In FY25: Rajnath Singh

Defence Minister Rajnath Singh said India’s defence exports soared to a record Rs. 23,622 crore (approx. $2.76 billion) in FY 2024-25.

A growth of Rs 2,539 crore or 12.04% has been registered in the just-concluded FY over the defence exports figures of FY 2023-24, which were Rs 21,083 crore.

The Defence Public Sector Undertakings (DPSUs) have shown a significant increase of 42.85% in their exports in the FY 2024-25, reflecting the growing acceptability of Indian products in the global market and the ability of the Indian defence industry to be a part of the global supply chain.

“The private sector and DPSUs have contributed Rs 15,233 crore and Rs 8,389 crore respectively in defence exports of 2024-25, whereas the corresponding figures for FY 2023-24 were Rs 15,209 crore and Rs 5,874 crore respectively,” read a government statement.

Defence Minister Congratulates

Posting on X, Rajnath Singh congratulated all the stakeholders on achieving the feat. He stated that under the leadership of Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi, India is marching towards achieving the target of increasing defence exports to Rs 50,000 crore by 2029.

India has evolved from a largely import-dependent military force to one increasingly focused on self-reliance and indigenous production.

In a major boost to defence exports, a wide range of items from ammunition, arms, sub-systems/systems and parts & components have been exported to around 80 countries in the just-concluded FY.

The Department of Defence Production has a dedicated portal for application and processing of export authorisation requests, and 1,762 Export Authorisations were issued in FY 2024-25 compared to 1,507 in the preceding year, registering a growth of 16.92%.

The total number of exporters also grew by 17.4% in the same period.

“Many policy reforms have been brought in by the Government in the past few years to boost the Indian defence industry, such as simplification of industrial licensing procedure, removal of parts and components from the license regime, extending the validity period of license, etc,” read a statement.

In addition, SOP for the grant of Export Authorisation was further simplified, and more provisions were added in the last financial year to boost exports from the country.

Modi Lauds

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has described the moment as a ‘proud milestone’.

“This is indeed a proud milestone in our journey towards self-reliance and global leadership in defence manufacturing!” Modi wrote on X.

(With inputs from IBNS)

Gold Prices At a Lifetime High

Little over a fortnight ago, gold prices topped $3,000 per troy ounce. This was not unexpected.

What tipped the scales was the escalation of the tariff war initiated by the United States led by President Donald Trump and other countries responding in kind.

Gold, which has been the traditional hedge against risks and uncertainty, has found new cause in these troubled times.

Will gold prices continue to rise? Is the demand for gold undergoing a makeover.

To answer all this and more, StratNewsGlobal.Tech spoke to John Reade, Market Strategist for the World Gold Council on Capital Calculus.

US Tariffs Underscore India’s Need To Fast Forward Reform: Anil Padmanabhan

Early on Thursday morning, US President Donald Trump announced Liberation, which meant unleashing tariffs on the world including of course India.

Anil Padmanabhan, Editor Capital Calculus on substack, told StratNewsGlobal that the impact on the Indian economy, while significant, does not mean sack cloth and ashes.

Padmanabhan is clear that retaliation is not the answer.  India needs the $29 trillion US economy as it consumed $60 billion of our exports last year.

“India needs to take this tariff hit on the chin,” he said, underscoring that it is not 26% tariffs that the US has imposed, rather it is 37% and India needs to do its sums to ensure it stays aligned with the US while getting its act together in a number of areas.

Padmanabhan says India has generally reformed only when its back was to the wall. That was the case in 1991 when then Prime Minister Narasimha Rao launched economic reforms. The same mindset must play out this time round.

“Reform of the bureaucracy is a must to cut red tape,” he said. “For whatever reason, this has not happened and there is nobody quite like Prime Minister Modi who can deliver on this.”

He cited the example of GST, a laudable measure which unified the country but so many years down the line, the bureaucracy is back to weighing it down with more and more slabs, with the inevitable red  tape making an insidious come back.

Trade wise India needs to have a short and sweet “negative list”, he said, for example agriculture and pharma are two sectors that India must defend. In his view, India needs to speak clearly to the US about why it wants to keep these sectors out of the American radar.

India must also go the extra mile to boost the small and medium enterprises that employ more than 50% of the work force.  Domestic investors must be given a playing field level with those of foreign investors, he said.

Tune in for more in this conversation with Anil Padmanabhan.

Indian, Russian Navies Strengthen Ties Through Bilateral Exercise Indra

The Indian and Russian navies conducted the bilateral naval exercise Indra, reinforcing their commitment to collaboration and interoperability.

“The #RussianNavy and #IndianNavy ships participating in INDRA 2025 set sail, marking the commencement of the Sea Phase,” the Indian Navy Spokesperson posted on X.

The event was held in Chennai from March 28 to April 2.

Since its inception in 2003, Exercise Indra has epitomised the long-term strategic relationship between the Indian and Russian navies.

“The exercise has evolved into a symbol of maritime cooperation, showcasing the two nations’ commitment to enhancing naval interoperability and operational synergy. The exercise is being conducted in two phases – Harbour phase from 28 to 30 Mar 25 at Chennai, and Sea phase from 31 Mar to 02 Apr 25 in the Bay of Bengal,” the statement issued by the Indian Ministry of Defence said.

The exercise saw participation of Russian Federation Naval Ships Pechanga, Rezkiy and Aldar Tsydenzhapov along with Indian Naval Ships Rana, Kuthar and Maritime patrol aircraft P8l.

The Harbour Phase included an opening ceremony, Subject Matter Expert Exchanges (SMEEs), reciprocal visits, sports fixtures, and pre-sail briefings between personnel from both navies.

The Sea Phase will witness advanced naval drills, including tactical manoeuvres, live weapon firings, anti-air operations, underway replenishment, helicopter cross-deck landings and exchange of sea-riders.

These exercises and interactions are intended to enhance maritime cooperation, strengthening bridges of friendship, exchanging best operational practices and bolstering diplomatic ties between the two nations.

India-Russia Defence Ties

India has longstanding and wide-ranging cooperation with Russia in the field of defence.

The cooperation is guided by the IRIGC-M&MTC mechanism, headed by the Defence Ministers of both countries.

The 20th IRIGC-M&MTC meeting was held in December 2021.

The two countries also participated in multilateral exercises such as Vostok 2022 held in September 2022 in Russia.

Bilateral projects include the supply of S-400, licensed production of T-90 tanks and Su-30 MKI, supply of MiG-29 and Kamov helicopters, INS Vikramaditya (formerly Admiral Gorshkov), production of AK-203 rifles in India and BrahMos missiles, read a statement issued by the Indian Embassy in Russia.

India-Russia military technical cooperation has evolved over time from a buyer-seller framework to one involving joint research and development, co-development and joint production of advanced defence technology and systems.

(With inputs from IBNS)

India-US HADR Exercise Tiger Triumph 2025 Begins In Visakhapatnam

India and the U.S. have kicked off the 4th edition of their bilateral HADR amphibious exercise, Tiger Triumph 2025, at the Eastern Naval Command in Visakhapatnam with an opening ceremony aboard the Indian Navy’s INS Jalashwa (L41).

The Tiger Triumph 2025 exercise reflects the deepening convergence of U.S.-India strategic maritime interests and the countries’ defence partnership.

Aim Of The Exercise

“The present edition is aimed at further enhancement of interoperability and combined joint all-domain operations during large-scale HADR operations,” the statement issued by the Ministry of Defence said.

“The harbour phase of the exercise is being conducted at Visakhapatnam from 01-07 Apr 25, and involves a planning process for the execution of various training events at sea, as well as further refinement of procedures established in previous iterations of Tiger TRIUMPH,” the statement said.

In addition, the harbour phase will include training and Subject Matter Expert Exchange (SMEE) events on a range of professional subjects, such as special operations, emergency medical response procedures, and operations across the air, maritime, cyber and space domains.

Best Practices To Be Exchanged

These exchanges will allow our forces to continue sharing Best Practices and building stronger bonds.

Sports engagements and visits to sites of cultural importance will also be coordinated to nurture camaraderie and develop personal relationships.

During the sea phase, which will take place from 08-12 Apr 25, the bilateral forces will work together to train for maritime, amphibious and HADR operations through a Joint Combined Command and Control Center.

This phase will conclude with the establishment of a joint combined humanitarian relief and medical response camp following an amphibious landing at Kakinada.

Participating units from the Indian Navy include Landing Platform Dock INS Jalashwa with integral landing crafts and helicopters, the Delhi-class guided-missile destroyer INS Mumbai (D62), Magar-class amphibious assault ship, Deepak-class fleet tanker INS Shakti (A57) and PBI Long-Range Maritime Reconnaissance Aircraft, MH60R Helicopters and Hawk Aircraft.

The Indian Army will be represented by an Infantry Battalion group, including Mechanised Forces, and Special Operations Forces from all three services will also participate in the exercise. Cyber and Space specialists will also participate in the exercise.

Indian Air Force

The Indian Air Force will demonstrate the capability of C130, Mi-17 V5 and showcase the air portable BHISMA medical equipment.

The participating U.S. Task Force would comprise a U.S. Navy Whidbey Island-class dock landing ship USS Comstock (LSD 45), with embarked U.S. Marines from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit and 1st Light Armored Reconnaissance battalion, as well as the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Ralph Johnson (DDG 114) and a Navy P8A Poseidon aircraft.

The U.S. Space Force and Air Force are supporting the exercise with subject matter experts and a C-130J aircraft, respectively. The U.S. Army will be represented by a platoon, medical platoon, Civil-Military Operations Center and Multi-Domain Task Force Combined Information Effects Fusion Cell.

(With inputs from IBNS)

India Has Longest Coastline: Jaishankar Hits Back At Yunus

External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar on Thursday targeted Bangladesh Interim Government chief Muhammad Yunus over his comment on ‘North-East’ and said cooperation is not subject to “cherry-picking”.

Speaking at the 6th BIMSTEC Summit in Thailand, Jaishankar sent out a strong message to Yunus and his administration in Bangladesh and said India has the longest coastline in the Bay of Bengal.

Jaishankar said, “India is aware of its special responsibility in regard to BIMSTEC. We, after all, have the longest coastline in the Bay of Bengal, of almost 6500km.”

Countering Yunus‘ remarks, he said India’s Northeast region has now emerged as a connectivity hub for the BIMSTEC.

“India shares borders not only with five BIMSTEC members, connects most of them, but also provides much of the interface between the Indian Sub-continent and ASEAN. Our North-Eastern region in particular is emerging as a connectivity hub for the BIMSTEC, with a myriad network of roads, railways, waterways, grids and pipelines. Furthermore, the completion of the Trilateral Highway will connect India’s North East all the way to the Pacific Ocean, a veritable game-changer,” he said.

“We are conscious that our cooperation and facilitation are an essential pre-requisite for the smooth flow of goods, services and people in this larger geography,” Jaishankar said.

“Keeping this geo-strategic factor in mind, we have devoted increasing energies and attention to the strengthening of BIMSTEC in the last decade. We also believe that cooperation is an integrated outlook, not one subject to cherry-picking,” he said.

Yunus’s Controversial Remark

In a video which went viral on social media, Yunus was probably during his four-day trip to China had made a controversial comment, referring to India’s Northeast as an opportunity for Beijing’s economic expansion.

Yunus was heard saying, “The seven states of India, the eastern part of India, are called the seven sisters. They are a landlocked region of India. They have no way to reach out to the ocean… This opens up a huge possibility. This could be an extension for the Chinese economy.”

The bilateral tension between India and Bangladesh brewed after the fall of the pro-Delhi Sheikh Hasina government in August last year, followed by attacks on minorities in the South Asian country.

After Hasina fled to India, facing violent protests that started with anti-quota agitation, Yunus was appointed as the advisor to the interim government in Bangladesh.

(With inputs from IBNS)

EU Set To Counter New US Tariffs, Says Commission Chief

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen delivers a statement on plans to strengthen the European defence industry and the EU's military capabilities, in Brussels, Belgium March 4, 2025. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen criticised United States President Donald Trump’s global tariffs as a significant setback for the world economy. She said that the EU was ready to take countermeasures if negotiations with Washington failed.

“We are already finalising the first package of countermeasures in response to tariffs on steel,” the European Commission chief said in a statement read out in the Uzbek city of Samarkand on Thursday, ahead of an EU-Central Asia partnership summit.

“And we’re now preparing for further countermeasures to protect our interests and our businesses if negotiations fail.”

She did not provide any details of future EU measures. The EU plans to impose counter tariffs on up to 26 billion euros ($28.4 billion) of U.S. goods this month in response to U.S. steel and aluminium tariffs that took effect on March 12.

Trump Tariffs

Trump on Wednesday unveiled a 10% minimum tariff on most goods imported to the United States – with a higher 20% rate for the European Union – kicking into high gear a global trade war that threatens to drive up inflation and stall U.S. and worldwide economic growth.

Von der Leyen said she deeply regretted the U.S. move and warned of “immense consequences” for the global economy, including vulnerable countries facing some of the highest U.S. tariffs.

“Uncertainty will spiral and trigger the rise of further protectionism,” she said, pointing to higher consumer costs for groceries, medication and transport and disruption for businesses.

“What is more, there seems to be no order in the disorder, no clear path to the complexity and chaos that is being created as all U.S. trading partners are hit,” she continued.

Von der Leyen said she agreed with Trump that others had taken unfair advantage of global trade rules and was ready to support efforts to reform them.

“It is not too late to address concerns through negotiations,” she said.

($1 = 0.9160 euros)

(With inputs from Reuters)

BIMSTEC: Modi To Meet Bangladesh Chief Adviser Yunus, Nepal’s PM Oli

Modi and Bangladesh Chief Adviser Yunus are breaking the ice at the BIMSTEC summit in Bangkok. Photo: Jagran English

Prime Minister Narendra Modi will meet Mohammad Yunus, Chief Adviser of Bangladesh’s interim government, around noon on Friday, the last day of the BIMSTEC summit in Bangkok, sources have told StratNewsGlobal.   The meeting will be an opportunity to halt the current downslide in the relationship.

Modi is expected to seek reassurances on the treatment of the Hindu minority in Bangladesh, given rising incidents of violence against them.

They may also discuss the broader regional security landscape. Yunus’s remarks during his visit to China—that Bangladesh could offer economic access to India’s landlocked northeastern states—have not been well received in India. It may be an opportunity to soothe any Indian ruffled feathers.

There will be an informal meeting of all seven heads of states (Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Thailand) later on Thursday.  Bangladesh incidentally, is  scheduled to take over as chair of BIMSTEC.

Modi’s meeting with Myanmar leader Gen Min Aung Llaing will be the first since the 2021 military coup plunged the country into a civil war.  The relationship between the two countries is delicate although India continues to engage with the military junta.

But its dependence on China is worrying, and as the civil war drags on with no peace in sight, India’s concerns over the security of its northeastern borders is growing.

India was first responder when the earthquake hit four days back.  Currently it has a field hospital up and running in Mandalay besides rescue teams from the National Disaster Response Force.

The BIMSTEC summit is also an opportunity to touch base with Nepal’s Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli.  Although he took over as prime minister last July, Oli is yet to merit an invitation to visit India.

South Block was not amused by his attempts to force India to negotiate on his country’s claims to the 300-sq km plus area called Kalapani in Uttarakhand.

Add to that, Oli tried, again unsuccessfully, to push India to permit flights from Pokhara International Airport and Gautam Budh Airport at Bhairwaha. Both airports are Chinese-built and pose security issues for India, yet Oli preferred to ignore India’s concerns.

This may be an opportunity for Oli to make amends since there are common interests in trade, infrastructure, and regional stability.

 

In Photos: PM Narendra Modi Arrives In Thailand For BIMSTEC Summit

bimstec summit
PM Narendra Modi lands in Bangkok, Thailand.He was received by the Deputy PM & Minister of Transport Suriya Jungrungreangkit at the airport.

BIMSTEC To Get New Life At Bangkok Summit

Modi in Bangkok for BIMSTEC summit

BANGKOK: The BIMSTEC leaders summit in Bangkok is expected to adopt and declare a couple of important initiatives on Friday which could reinvigorate the grouping that has spluttered along since its inception in 1997.

Indramani Pandey, Indian Foreign Service Officer and the current Secretary General of BIMSTEC, speaking at a pre-summit conference in Bangkok organised by India Foundation, an Indian think tank, said the leaders of seven nations are slated to sign a new Maritime Transport Cooperation pact besides adopting a ‘BIMSTEC Bangkok declaration’ at the end of the sixth summit to serve as guide for the future roadmap of the grouping.

BIMSTEC will also sign an MoU with the Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA) to cooperate on maritime and associated issues. Another agreement with United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) to act against organised crime and drug trafficking is also likely to be finalised, according to Pandey.

The BIMSTEC Journey So Far

Besides India, four other countries from the Indian subcontinent—Nepal, Bangladesh, Bhutan and Sri Lanka—are members of BIMSTEC. Current chair Thailand and Myanmar are the other two nations from the ASEAN region that make up the grouping.

Although established in 1997, BIMSTEC or the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation, a grouping of member states lying in the littoral and adjacent areas of the Bay of Bengal, has so far managed to hold only five summit level meetings. Geographically, it is a unique link connecting South Asia with South-East Asia. It brings together 1.7 billion people—22% of the world population with a combined GDP of US $5 trillion.

Since 2016, India has tried to re-energise the grouping as an alternative to South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC).

India hosted BIMSTEC Outreach Summit and Leaders Retreat in Goa in October 2016. There have been 19 BIMSTEC foreign ministerial meetings. The last meeting was held on March 9, 2023 in Bangkok in virtual mode. Add to that, two BIMSTEC foreign ministers’ retreats; the last one took place in July 2024 in New Delhi. An informal meeting of BIMSTEC foreign ministers took place on the sidelines of 79th session of UNGA on September 27, 2024 in New York. Senior officials of BIMSTEC have held 24 meetings, the last one on December 19, 2024 in Bangkok in virtual mode. Eight regular meetings of the BIMSTEC Permanent Working Committee have been held so far; the latest one was on February 25, 2025 in Bangkok in virtual mode. A Permanent Secretariat of the organisation was set up in Dhaka in 2014. Ambassador Pandey is the current and fourth BIMSTEC Secretary General, since January 4, 2024.

BIMSTEC & India

India has also taken the lead in forming a forum of National Security Advisers to discuss deeper security cooperation. Four rounds of these meetings have taken place till now. The last meeting took place in Naypyidaw in July 2024.

At the last summit in Colombo, leaders endorsed reorganisation of priority areas/pillars of cooperation into seven verticals. Each member country leads a priority area.

India is the lead country for the security pillar under which there are three sub-sectors:

  • Counter-Terrorism and Transnational Crime (CTTC)
  • Disaster Management, and
  • Energy Security

The remaining priority areas/pillars and their lead countries are:

  • Trade, Investment and Development (Bangladesh)
  • Environment and Climate Change (Bhutan)
  • People-to-People Contacts (Nepal)
  • Agriculture and Food Security (Myanmar)
  • Science, Technology and Innovation (Sri Lanka)
  • Connectivity (Thailand).

India hosts the BIMSTEC Centre for Weather and Climate (BCWC) at Noida to provide weather data for the region, as per a Memorandum of Association signed at the third summit in March 2014. A BIMSTEC Energy Centre is in place in Bengaluru for enhanced cooperation in energy security within BIMSTEC region.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Narendra Modi reached Bangkok this afternoon to take part in the summit and have a bilateral meeting with Thailand’s Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra in the evening. There is so far no word if Modi will accede to a request for a meeting by Mohd. Yunus, Chief Adviser to the interim government in Bangladesh.

Third BIMSTEC Dialogue

Meanwhile, political leaders, former diplomats and scholars from the region attended a day-long conference organised by India Foundation in association with Chulalongkorn University in Bangkok on Wednesday. Titled the 3rd BIMSTEC Dialogue: Imperatives and Impediments, the discussions were relevant and contemporary.

There was near unanimity on the need to list out priorities for BIMSTEC countries and bring sharper focus on implementing plans agreed upon at the leaders’ level. Speakers from all seven member nations agreed that BIMSTEC needs full backing of governments to meet its objectives. Nepal’s Foreign Minister Arzoo Rana Deuba, her Bhutan counterpart Donggel and four former ministers from member countries were in attendance. Also present were  President of India Foundation Ram Madhav, India’s former Minister of State for External Affairs MJ Akbar and former diplomats with experience in handling BIMSTEC affairs.

South Korea’s Acting Leader Seeks Talks With U.S. On Tariffs

Acting President Han Duck-soo urged discussions with U.S. officials on Thursday to protect South Korea’s export-driven economy from the effects of American tariffs. He also directed emergency support measures for businesses.

U.S. President Donald Trump has unveiled global reciprocal tariffs and displayed a 25% rate on South Korea.

Han asked the industry minister to analyse the content of the tariffs and actively negotiate with Washington to minimise the impact, an industry ministry statement said.

“As the global trade war has become a reality, the government must pour all its capabilities to overcome the trade crisis,” Han said at a meeting with the finance minister and other top officials.

Industry Minister Ahn Duk-geun called the new tariffs “regrettable” but said Seoul will keep consulting with both senior and working-level U.S. officials on tariffs.

Trump in his speech singled out Washington’s Asian security allies South Korea and Japan, accusing them of being among the worst offenders for conducting unfair trade practices against the United States.

Analysts in Seoul said Trump’s extensive rollout of tariffs would inflict a significant blow on Asia’s fourth-largest economy.

“It is clear that major export products such as automobiles will be hit hard, and exports to the U.S. through production bases in Vietnam will also be hit hard,” Park Sang-hyun, an economist at iM Securities, said in a note.

Trump also announced a 46% duty on imports from Vietnam. South Korea’s major corporations such as Samsung Electronics and LG Electronics have manufacturing bases in the Southeast Asian country.

Citi estimated the new tariffs could shave 0.16% from South Korea’s GDP this year, putting its 1.0% economic growth forecast at risk.

‘No Captain On A Boat In Typhoon’

Top government officials met South Korean business executives on Thursday to discuss the tariffs.

Lee Yong-ho, chief executive of AIT, a company exporting aluminium automobile parts to the U.S., said AIT was already being squeezed by additional costs since a 25% tariff on aluminium products took effect in March.

“We’re like let’s hold it out for now, but if it continues any longer, we’re looking at a hopeless situation,” said Lee, who feared losing his American clients to local rivals if he tried to raise product prices.

The benchmark KOSPI stock index trimmed losses to less than 1% as of 0415 GMT, after falling as much as 2.7% in early trade to three-month lows. Automakers hit their weakest levels in more than 14 months, while chipmakers also slumped and battery maker LG Energy Solution hit a record low.

It was unclear what emergency measures South Korea would announce to try to mitigate tariffs, but Han is due to preside over a meeting with the private sector later on Thursday to discuss the response.

South Korea’s Leadership Uncertainty

The efforts to tackle the tariffs come as South Korea deals with a leadership vacuum.

The Constitutional Court is due to rule on Friday whether to permanently remove or reinstate President Yoon Suk Yeol after he was impeached over his short-lived move to impose martial law in February.

Lee, the auto parts supplier, likened South Korea’s situation with tariffs to a ship trying to navigate a typhoon without a skipper. “Our ship has no captain,” he said, in reference to the political uncertainty.

Before Trump’s announcement on reciprocal tariffs, South Korean officials had sought exemptions, arguing the country had almost zero tariffs in place under a comprehensive free trade pact with the United States.

“It is assessed to have practically nullified the Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement,” said Paik Seok-hyun, an economist at Shinhan Bank, referring to Trump’s new tariffs.

A finance ministry official told Reuters that the information available so far suggested the 25% tariff rate took precedence over the free trade pact and the government was actively seeking negotiations with the United States to lower it.

Another government official, who requested anonymity, said South Korea was not in a position to counter U.S. tariffs aggressively under current security environments and must try to negotiate with Washington.

(With inputs from Reuters)

Myanmar Death Toll Exceeds 3,000; Rescuers Brace For Heavy Rains

The number of lives lost in Myanmar’s earthquake has risen beyond 3,000, with hundreds still missing. Rescue and aid efforts face additional hurdles as unexpected rainfall threatens to complicate access to affected areas in the conflict-hit country.

Last Friday’s 7.7-magnitude quake, one of the Southeast Asian nation’s strongest in a century, jolted a region home to 28 million, toppling buildings, flattening communities and leaving many without food, water and shelter.

Deaths rose to 3,003 on Wednesday, with 4,515 injured and 351 missing, Myanmar’s embassy in Japan said on Facebook, while rescuers scramble to find more.

But conditions could get even tougher for the huge relief effort after weather officials warned unseasonal rain from Sunday to April 11 could threaten the areas hardest-hit by the quake, such as Mandalay, Sagaing and the capital Naypyidaw.

“Rain is incoming and there are still so many buried,” an aid worker in Myanmar told Reuters. “And in Mandalay, especially, if it starts to rain, people who are buried will drown even if they’ve survived until this point.”

There have been 53 airlifts of aid to Myanmar, the embassy in Japan added in its post, while more than 1,900 rescue workers arrived from 15 countries, including Southeast Asian neighbours and China, India and Russia.

Despite the devastation, junta chief Min Aung Hlaing will leave his disaster-stricken country on Thursday for a rare trip to a regional summit in Bangkok, state television said.

It is an uncommon foreign visit for a general regarded as a pariah by many countries and the subject of Western sanctions and an International Criminal Court investigation.

Unseasonal Rain

The rains will add to the challenges faced by aid and rescue groups, which have called for access to all affected areas despite the strife of civil war.

The military has struggled to run Myanmar since its return to power in a 2021 coup that unseated the elected civilian government of Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi.

The generals have been internationally isolated since the takeover and Myanmar’s economy and basic services, including healthcare, have been reduced to tatters amid the strife.

On Wednesday state-run MRTV said a unilateral government ceasefire would take immediate effect for 20 days, to support relief efforts after the quake, but warned authorities would “respond accordingly” if rebels launched attacks.

The move came after a major rebel alliance declared a ceasefire on Tuesday to assist the humanitarian effort.

Nearly a week after the quake, searchers in neighbouring Thailand hunting for survivors combed a mountain of debris left after a skyscraper in the capital, Bangkok, collapsed while under construction.

Rescuers are using mechanical diggers and bulldozers to break up 100 tons of concrete to locate any still alive after the disaster that killed 15 people, with 72 still missing.

Thailand’s nationwide toll stands at 22.

(With inputs from Reuters)

Amazon, OnlyFans Founder Join TikTok Bidding War

With the weekend deadline looming for TikTok to secure a buyer, the competition is heating up. Amazon, along with a group led by OnlyFans founder Tim Stokely, are the latest contenders to enter the race for the popular short-video social media platform.

The site faces an April 5 deadline to reach a deal to find a non-Chinese buyer under threat of being banned from the United States.

U.S. officials have raised security concerns over the app’s ties to China, which TikTok and owner ByteDance have denied. Trump administration officials are meeting on Wednesday to discuss the various options for TikTok.

Amazon Shares Rise

Startup Zoop, which is run by Stokely, founder of adult content social media site OnlyFans, has partnered with a cryptocurrency foundation to submit a late-stage plan to bid for TikTok, the two told Reuters Wednesday.

A U.S. administration official confirmed Amazon had sent a letter to Vice President JD Vance and Department of Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. Amazon declined to comment, while TikTok and ByteDance did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Shares of Amazon rose about 2% following news of the last-minute TikTok bid.

Amazon has long harbored ambitions for an in-house social media network that could help it sell more goods and appeal to a younger audience. It bought live video site Twitch in 2014 for nearly $1 billion and book review site Goodreads in 2013 as part of its efforts to build a viable social network.

Amazon also developed and tested a TikTok-like short-form video and photo feed called Inspire that it shuttered earlier this year.
Trump said last month his administration was in touch with four different groups about the sale of the platform, without identifying them.

Multiple Bidders

Private equity firm Blackstone is discussing joining ByteDance’s non-Chinese shareholders, led by Susquehanna International Group and General Atlantic, in contributing fresh capital to bid for TikTok’s U.S. business, Reuters reported last week.

U.S. venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz is also in talks to add outside funding to buy out TikTok’s Chinese investors, as part of a bid led by Oracle and other American investors to carve it out of ByteDance, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday.

White House-led talks entail plans to spin off a U.S. entity for TikTok and dilute Chinese ownership in the new business to below a 20% threshold required by U.S. law, Reuters reported last month.

The New York Times first reported Amazon’s involvement on Wednesday. Various parties who have been involved in the talks do not appear to be taking Amazon’s bid seriously, the Times reported.

The future of the app used by nearly half of all Americans has been up in the air since a 2024 law, passed with overwhelming bipartisan support, required ByteDance to divest TikTok by January 19.

Washington officials have said TikTok’s ownership by ByteDance makes it beholden to the Chinese government, and Beijing could use the app to conduct influence operations against the United States and collect data on Americans.

(With inputs from Reuters)

China Urges U.S. To Cancel Tariffs, Promises Countermeasures

On Thursday, China called on the U.S. to cancel its latest tariffs immediately and promised to take countermeasures to protect its interests, following President Trump’s announcement of broad levies on all U.S. trading partners.

The U.S. move disregards the balance of interests reached in multilateral trade negotiations over the years and the fact that it has long benefited greatly from international trade, the Chinese commerce ministry said in a statement.

“China firmly opposes this and will take countermeasures to safeguard its own rights and interests,” the ministry said, as the world’s largest economies look set to spiral deeper into a trade war that stands to upend global supply chains.

54% Tariff

Trump on Wednesday announced China would be hit with a 34% tariff, on top of the 20% he previously imposed earlier this year, bringing the total new levies to 54% and close to the 60% figure he had threatened while on the campaign trail.

Chinese exporters, as with those from every other economy, will face a 10% baseline tariff, as part of the new 34% levy, on almost all goods shipped to the world’s largest consumer economy from Saturday before the remaining, higher “reciprocal tariffs” take effect from April 9.

Trump also signed an executive order closing a trade loophole known as “de minimis” that has allowed low-value packages from China and Hong Kong to enter the U.S. duty free.

Worldwide Tariffs

“Arguably, President Trump’s tariffs elsewhere will cause the most headaches,” said Ruby Osman, a China expert at the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change.

“Chinese firms have been rerouting trade through places like Vietnam and Mexico to avoid U.S. sanctions, but these markets are now being hit with significant tariffs of their own.”

“China+1” strategies caught on among Chinese exporters and multinational companies that had made the production powerhouse central to their supply chains during Trump’s first term, but with India, Mexico, Vietnam and Malaysia – the countries that benefited most from this shift – facing tariffs of between 36% to 25%, the cost advantage of relocating manufacturing out of China is significantly diminished.

‘Real Pain’

Trump’s tariffs could encourage China to step up its trade with alternative markets, but no other country currently comes even close to U.S. consumption power, where Chinese producers sell more than $400 billion worth of goods annually.

“Trump’s tariffs certainly won’t help Chinese firms and will cause some real pain in some sectors, but they don’t make any definitive mark on the Chinese economy,” said William Hurst, Chong Hua Professor of Chinese Development at the University of Cambridge.

“U.S. exports are of declining importance to China. The American tariffs will spur more Chinese trade with other places, from Europe to Southeast Asia and Africa,” he added.

But Chinese producers have described shifting to alternative markets as a “rat race”, resulting in price wars among exporters that risk fanning deflationary forces in the world’s second-largest economy as firms continue to squeeze shrinking margins.

Unchanged Economic Target

China has kept its economic target for this year unchanged at “around 5%” despite Trump’s tariff salvos which could call time on a largely export-led recovery underway since the end of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The government has pledged more fiscal stimulus, increased debt issuance, further monetary easing and put an even greater emphasis on boosting domestic demand to cushion the impact of the trade war.

“China knew this day was coming well in advance, the relatively restrained stimulus announcements at March’s Two Sessions were a calculation, not an oversight,” Osman said, referring to China’s annual parliamentary meetings.

“Beijing has purposefully kept more in reserve, both in terms of domestic stimulus and retaliatory measures, in case it needs to respond more forcefully,” she added.

‘Paradox Of Pressure And Pride’

China’s President Xi Jinping might also enter the fray, following reports the two leaders could meet in June in the United States.

“Trump and Xi are locked in a paradox of pressure and pride,” said Craig Singleton, senior fellow at Washington-based research institute Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

“Trump’s strategy mixes maximum pressure with sudden diplomatic overtures — he sees leverage and engagement as complementary. Xi, by contrast, is methodical and risk-averse, relying on delay and discipline. But here’s the dilemma: if he refuses to engage, the pressure escalates; if he engages too soon, he risks looking weak,” he added.

“Neither wants to be seen as folding first, but delay could deepen the standoff.”

(With inputs from Reuters)