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Is A Trump White House A Win for India?

Not just the establishment, but most Indians seem to believe that Trump in the White House is going to be a good deal for India. Whether or not that is a correct assessment or just wishful thinking, only time will tell.
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With Donald Trump now likely to return to the White House, it looks like the prayers of a lot of Indians have been answered, particularly in the establishment.

Prime Minister  Narendra Modi was among the first to congratulate Trump, even though he was still three votes short of getting the majority needed to actually take the White House.

The reasons for India wanting Trump back are quite obvious.

One, of course, is Trump’s anti-China position, which aligns well with the Indian strategic position. Two, tariffs on China could possibly lead to a rethink or revival of the China plus one strategy, which might lead to more investments in India. But that apart, Trump’s position on issues like Pakistan, even Bangladesh, if one were to go by his Diwali wishes just ahead of the elections, seem to be good for India in many ways.

Then of course, the close bond between Trump and Modi, particularly since the “abki bar Trump Sarkar’ remark by the latter during the ‘Howdy Modi’ event in Houston, Texas in 2019, just before the 2020 elections, cannot be ignored. Even though Trump lost that election.

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Although Trump’s transactional attitude and his compulsion to deliver on his domestic promises means one can’t take his pro-India position for granted, some of the things that India has been wanting for a long time like  stronger position against China, are likely to come through, sans the sanctimonious human rights baggage of the Democrats, say some analysts.

This obviously needs to be balanced against things like tougher trade and tariffs and the opening up of the Indian market, and of course immigration, which would impact not just IT , but also the pharma and textiles sectors. However, India Inc apparently   feels it can deal with that, having experienced it during his earlier term.

Overall, not just the establishment, but most Indians seem to believe that Trump in the White House is going to be a good deal for India. Whether or not that is a correct assessment or just wishful thinking,  only time will tell.

Keep Watching StratNewsGlobal for more insights into the US elections and its implications for India, the region and the world.

 

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In a career spanning over three decades and counting, I’ve been the Foreign Editor of The Telegraph, Outlook Magazine and The New Indian Express. I helped set up rediff.com’s editorial operations in San Jose and New York, helmed sify.com, and was the founder editor of India.com.

My work has featured in national and international publications like the Al Jazeera Centre for Studies, Global Times and The Asahi Shimbun. My one constant over all these years, however, has been the attempt to understand rising India’s place in the world.

On demand, I can rustle up a mean salad, my oil-less pepper chicken is to die for, and depending on the time of the day, all it takes to rock my soul is some beer and some jazz or good ole rhythm & blues.

Talk to me about foreign and strategic affairs, media, South Asia, China, and of course India.