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Japan: Takaichi Courts Conservative Bloc In Bid For Premiership

Takaichi’s once-assured succession to Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba was thrown into uncertainty after Komeito quit the 26-year coalition, triggering intense negotiations with rival parties.
Japan's Liberal Democratic Party newly elected chief Sanae Takaichi speaks to the media after a meeting with Japan's Komeito party leader Tetsuo Saito, at the party headquarters, in Tokyo, Japan, October 10, 2025, in this photo taken by Kyodo. Kyodo/via REUTERS

Sanae Takaichi, newly elected leader of Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party, held coalition talks on Thursday with leaders of the right-leaning Innovation Party in an effort to secure support ahead of next week’s prime ministerial vote.

The Nikkei share average rose as prospects appeared to brighten for Takaichi to become Japan’s first woman premier, stoking bets on a revival in big spending and loose monetary policy.

Takaichi’s path to succeed Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba had seemed all but certain until the LDP’s junior partner, Komeito, quit their 26-year coalition last week, setting off a flurry of negotiations with rival parties to select the next premier.

“There were strong views (among party members) that we should win as many of the policies we have been committed to as possible, then form a coalition and change Japanese politics,” said Fumitake Fujita, co-head of the Innovation Party.

He was speaking to reporters before a meeting with Takaichi and the policy chiefs of the parties.

Taken together, the two parties would be just two seats short of a majority in the lower house, which has the deciding vote to choose the prime minister, but the government has yet to agree on a date.

Second Capital

The Innovation Party’s plans include designating a second capital in addition to Tokyo, restarting nuclear power plants and setting limits on the number of foreign residents.

On security, it calls for a more robust defence posture and plans to revise Japan’s war-renouncing constitution, aligning with the views of Takaichi, a nationalist from the LDP’s right wing.

The main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party has also sought to draw the Innovation Party into a three-way tie-up with the Democratic Party For the People (DPFP), and enable a premiership bid by DPFP leader Yuichiro Tamaki.

However, those talks were inconclusive on Wednesday.

The LDP has proposed October 21 for a parliamentary vote on parties’ choices for the next premier, but the opposition has pushed back, citing coalition discussions.

Any candidate securing a simple majority in the first round of such a vote will win approval. If not, the two with the most votes go into a run-off.

“Although the situation remains fluid, there is a strong 75% probability that Takaichi will be named Japan’s next premier,” EurAsia Group analysts said in a note, citing the potential tie-up with the Innovation Party.

(With inputs from Reuters)

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