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Nuclear 5 To Meet, First Dialogue Since Russia Invaded Ukraine

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Representatives from the five nuclear weapons states—Russia, the United States, China, France, and Britain—will hold a meeting in New York within the next two weeks, according to Russian state media. The announcement, made by Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov on Thursday, did not specify the exact date or the level of officials who will be attending.

Significance Of The Meeting

The meeting is highly anticipated due to the growing nuclear tensions between Russia and Western countries since the onset of the war in Ukraine. President Vladimir Putin recently revised Russia’s nuclear doctrine, expanding the scenarios in which Moscow might consider deploying nuclear weapons. This adjustment has raised international concerns and increased the urgency of dialogue among nuclear-armed states.

Background And Current Context

The group, known as the “nuclear five”, comprises the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council. In January 2022, shortly before Russia’s military intervention in Ukraine, the nuclear five issued a joint statement emphasizing their commitment to reducing the risk of nuclear conflict. They stated: “A nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought,” highlighting their shared priority to avoid war between nuclear powers and reduce strategic risks.

The upcoming meeting will be the first significant dialogue of its kind since these tensions escalated, and it offers a rare opportunity for direct discussions on nuclear policy and stability among the world’s most powerful states.

Implications For Global Security

The meeting could potentially ease some of the heightened tensions that have emerged since the war in Ukraine began. However, given the recent shifts in Russia’s nuclear policy and ongoing conflicts, it remains unclear whether the talks will lead to any concrete agreements or measures to reduce nuclear risks.

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Russia’s recent doctrinal changes have expanded the conditions under which it might consider using nuclear weapons. This move has prompted concern among Western countries and increased the stakes of the New York meeting. The outcome could have significant implications for global security, particularly in the context of current geopolitical dynamics.

Previous Commitments And Current Stance

In their January 2022 statement, the nuclear five reaffirmed their stance that avoiding war among nuclear powers was a key priority. This commitment was made mere weeks before Russia’s military operations in Ukraine began. Since then, the war has not only strained relations between Russia and the West but also increased the risk of nuclear escalation.

The New York meeting could provide a platform for the five nuclear-armed states to revisit their prior commitments and explore options for de-escalation. However, much will depend on the willingness of each party to engage constructively given the current geopolitical environment.

(With inputs from Reuters)