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Canada: Montreal Poll Test For PM Trudeau As Popularity Dips

Canada Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party is facing a tough battle in a Montreal special election, where a loss could increase pressure on Trudeau’s leadership. The election, held in the LaSalle—Émard—Verdun constituency, was called to replace a Liberal lawmaker who resigned. Traditionally a stronghold for the Liberals, recent polls suggest the race is now much tighter than expected.

Rising Tensions Within the Liberal Party

Trudeau, who has led the party for nearly nine years, is experiencing a drop in popularity due to rising costs of living and a housing crisis. Some Liberal members have begun to publicly question his leadership. Alexandra Mendes, a Liberal MP from Quebec, noted that many of her constituents are unhappy with Trudeau, saying, “He’s no longer the right leader.” This internal dissent, coupled with declining poll numbers, has intensified speculation over Trudeau’s future.

Despite the criticism, Trudeau has insisted he will lead the party into the next federal election, scheduled by October 2025. He pointed to the high cost of living as a key issue motivating voters in the special election, acknowledging that many Canadians are frustrated.

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National Polls Reflect Challenges Ahead

A recent Leger poll shows the Liberals trailing the right-leaning Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, who promise to cut taxes and reduce immigration. Polls predict a strong Conservative victory in the next federal election, with 45% public support for the party, compared to just 25% for the Liberals. Losing the LaSalle—Émard—Verdun seat would be a major setback for Trudeau and fuel further criticism of his leadership.

Voting concludes at 9 p.m. on Monday, but final results may take several hours longer to tally due to numerous protest candidates on the ballot.

(With Inputs from Reuters)