U.S. intelligence agencies have said China is not currently planning to invade Taiwan by 2027, offering a more measured assessment of one of the world’s most sensitive geopolitical flashpoints.

The findings come in an annual global threat report, which suggests Beijing prefers to achieve unification without the use of force, if possible.

No Fixed Timeline For Action

According to the report, Chinese leaders do not have a set timeline for taking control of Taiwan and are not actively planning an invasion in the near term.

However, the assessment noted that China continues to maintain the option of using force if necessary and is steadily building military capabilities.

Military Pressure Continues

Despite the cautious assessment, Beijing has increased pressure on Taiwan through frequent military drills and so-called “grey-zone” tactics.

Taiwan has said it remains vigilant, warning that China’s actions continue to pose serious threats to regional stability.

China considers Taiwan part of its territory and has not ruled out the use of force, while Taiwan rejects those claims.

U.S. And Japan Concerns

The report comes amid ongoing debates within the United States and its allies about how to respond to China’s growing assertiveness.

It also highlighted concerns that pressure on Japan could intensify, especially after remarks by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi suggesting Tokyo could respond militarily in the event of a Taiwan conflict.

Balancing Diplomacy And Deterrence

While the United States continues to support Taiwan, including through arms sales, the situation remains complex.

Analysts say China’s strategy appears to combine military pressure with efforts to avoid direct conflict, keeping tensions high without triggering a full-scale war.

(with inputs from Reuters)